Market News

    After Falling 32% From A Year Earlier, Commodity Prices Will Reach Bottom In Second Quarter - Commodities Not Expected To See Physical Use Regain Their Late-2019 Levels Until Well Into 2022: IHS Markit May Commodity Price Watch

    The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has reshaped the outlook by triggering the largest peacetime contraction in the global economy since the Great Depression. Uniquely in the postwar period, the pandemic is a shock to both demand and supply. This said, the reaction in commodity markets indicates that the loss in aggregate demand is more significant and offsets any disruptions to supply. As measured by our IHS Markit Materials Price Index (MPI), commodity prices are now projected to fall by more than 32% year over year (y/y) in the second quarter.

    The Oil Rally Is Running On Fumes

    Oil prices have surged to two-month highs on growing signs of a rebound in oil demand, as the easing of lockdowns spread worldwide. At its peak in April, global lockdown measures affected around 3.9 billion people. But an estimated 3.7 billion people are now living in areas that are experiencing some version of a “reopening,” according to an estimate from Raymond James.